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Arizona Faces 77% Cut in Colorado River Water as States Remain Deadlocked

**WASHINGTON** — Arizona could see its share of Colorado River water slashed by up to 77% if the seven basin states fail to reach an agreement on new allocation guidelines, a scenario that has become increasingly likely as negotiations remain deadlocked with just weeks before a f

Dana Goddard

July 1, 20262 min read

Water droplet over cracked desert earth, representing Arizona water crisis — illustration, Jake Team LLC
Water droplet over cracked desert earth, representing Arizona water crisis — illustration, Jake Team LLC

WASHINGTON — Arizona could see its share of Colorado River water slashed by up to 77% if the seven basin states fail to reach an agreement on new allocation guidelines, a scenario that has become increasingly likely as negotiations remain deadlocked with just weeks before a federal deadline.

Queen Creek, spanning the Maricopa-Pinal county line in the southeast Phoenix metro area, is home to approximately 70,000 residents and is one of the fastest-growing communities in Arizona, with many residents commuting to employers such as Intel and Boeing in nearby Mesa.

The Bureau of Reclamation, which manages the river system, intends to release an updated plan by mid-July, with final operating guidelines expected in August. Under the current “no deal” federal proposal, Arizona would bear the heaviest burden of any state, losing up to 760,000 acre-feet annually. Nevada would see a 6% reduction, while the other five states would experience no cuts.

Arizona gets 36% of its water from the Colorado River, 41% from groundwater, 18% from in-state rivers, and 5% from reclaimed water, according to the Arizona Department of Water Resources. The river supports drinking water for millions, irrigates vast agricultural lands, and generates hydroelectric power at Hoover Dam and Glen Canyon Dam.

“In my 25 years on the Colorado River, I haven’t seen things this bad,” said Jennifer Pitt, Colorado River program director for the National Audubon Society. “We have 19th century law, 20th century infrastructure, and 21st century hydrology and water demand — and it’s not lining up very well.”

A May proposal from Arizona, California, and Nevada calls for spreading reductions among the Lower Basin states over three years, emphasizing voluntary conservation with possible federal compensation. But the Upper Basin states — Colorado, Utah, New Mexico, and Wyoming — rejected that plan, arguing it does not reflect actual snowpack and would drain reservoirs to catastrophic levels.

“We looked at how Lake Powell and Lake Mead would be impacted from an elevation standpoint and tried to cover as many hydrologic scenarios as possible,” said Tom Buschatzke, director of the Arizona Department of Water Resources. “It’s not a guarantee, but it’s a robust level of protection.” Both sides say they are prepared to go to court if an agreement cannot be reached.

Lake Mead currently stands at 1,048 feet above sea level, just 153 feet above “dead pool” status at which water can no longer flow downstream and the dam ceases to produce electricity. Between 2002 and 2024, aquifers in the Colorado River Basin lost about 27.8 million acre-feet of groundwater, according to NASA satellite data. The current allocation framework, dating to 2007, expires at the end of 2026.

Source: https://cronkitenews.azpbs.org/2026/06/09/colorado-river-stalemate-arizona-water/

Additional information: https://www.azwater.gov/sites/default/files/2026-05/2026.05.01%20LB2YearPlanFINAL.pdf

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Dana Goddard

Dana Goddard covers weather, storms, and seasonal life around Queen Creek.

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